Benfica x Guimaraes Betting tips for December 7 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Benfica x Guimaraes, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 18:00

Benfica 1.30

X 5.25

Guimaraes 9.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Benfica x Guimaraes:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $650.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Benfica x Guimaraes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $48.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Guimaraes, Benfica scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Benfica matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Benfica x Guimaraes, with Benfica as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Benfica is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Benfica has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Guimaraes playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Benfica x Guimaraes?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Benfica x Guimaraes:

Analysis from Benfica x Guimaraes for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Benfica x Guimaraes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233239 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Benfica x Guimaraes

Is it worth betting on Benfica?

🔵 Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $261.00
• And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$580.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Guimaraes?

🔴 Guimaraes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $419.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$531.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Guimaraes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Guimaraes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Benfica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Benfica.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Guimaraes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Guimaraes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.