Boavista x Arouca Betting tips for January 4 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 4/1/2025 20:30 |
 Boavista2.75 |
X 3.20 |
Arouca  2.59 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boavista x Arouca:
🔮 Arouca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arouca, you can win up to $1295.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Boavista x Arouca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Boavista x Arouca for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 4 of January
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🏟️ Boavista X Arouca – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boavista and Arouca.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242003 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Boavista x Arouca
Is betting on Boavista worth it?
🔵 Boavista: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $210.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$670.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $396.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.
Is betting on Arouca worth it?
🔴 Arouca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $1113.00
- And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$813.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Boavista x Arouca
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boavista x Arouca
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Boavista and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Boavista.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Arouca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boavista x Arouca
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
