Boavista x Nacional Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Boavista x Nacional, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 14:30

Boavista 2.90

X 3.06

Nacional 2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boavista x Nacional:

🔮 Nacional wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional, you can win up to $1250.00!

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The main points for the tip for Boavista x Nacional: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 Nacional did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Boavista scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Boavista x Nacional, with Boavista as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Nacional as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boavista x Nacional?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boavista x Nacional, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Boavista x Nacional for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 12 of April

When the best bet on Boavista x Nacional is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boavista x Nacional

Should you bet on Boavista?

🔵 Boavista: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $551.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $618.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is betting on Nacional worth it?

🔴 Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $615.00;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$25.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Boavista x Nacional

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boavista x Nacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Boavista and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Boavista.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Nacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boavista x Nacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.