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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Boavista x SC Farense Betting tips for December 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Boavista Boavista
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 42% 1 X 2
SC Farense SC Farense
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Boavista x SC Farense Betting tips for December 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Boavista x SC Farense, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
15:30
Boavista Boavista
2.45
X
3.20
SC Farense SC Farense
2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Boavista x SC Farense:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Boavista x SC Farense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $62.0.
👉 Boavista did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Boavista conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SC Farense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Boavista as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boavista x SC Farense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 8 of December

🏟️ Boavista X SC Farense – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Boavista – Winning probability: 26.33% | Fair line: 3.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 42.94% | Fair line: 2.33
🔴 SC Farense – Winning probability: 30.73% | Fair line: 3.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boavista and SC Farense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boavista x SC Farense

Is it a good idea to bet on Boavista?

🔵 Boavista: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $377.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$363.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $946.00
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$376.00.

Is it worth betting on SC Farense?

🔴 SC Farense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $579.70;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$110.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boavista x SC Farense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boavista x SC Farense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Boavista and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Boavista.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boavista x SC Farense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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