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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Braga x Arouca Betting tips for March 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 20h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Braga Braga
PREDICTION Braga wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Arouca Arouca
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Braga x Arouca Betting tips for March 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x Arouca, Saturday, 29/3/2025
📅 29/3/2025
20:30
Braga Braga
1.70
X
3.75
Arouca Arouca
4.57

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Braga x Arouca:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Braga x Arouca:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $546.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
👉 Braga did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Arouca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Braga matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Braga is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Arouca has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Braga x Arouca?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Braga x Arouca, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Braga x Arouca for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of March

🏟️ Braga X Arouca – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Braga – Winning probability: 78.68% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.40% | Fair line: 8.07
🔴 Arouca – Winning probability: 8.92% | Fair line: 11.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Braga x Arouca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga x Arouca

Is it worth betting on Braga?

🔵 Braga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $553.00;
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$343.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $330.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is betting on Arouca worth it?

🔴 Arouca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $321.30;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$588.70.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Arouca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Arouca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Braga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Braga. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Arouca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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