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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Braga x AVS Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 17h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
Braga Braga
PREDICTION Braga wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
AVS AVS
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Braga x AVS Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x AVS, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
17:00
Braga Braga
1.33
X
4.80
AVS AVS
8.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga x AVS:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $665.00!

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The main points for the tip for Braga x AVS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $581.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Braga is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Braga x AVS for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 13 of April

🏟️ Braga X AVS – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Braga – Winning probability: 86.11% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.31% | Fair line: 8.12
🔴 AVS – Winning probability: 1.58% | Fair line: 63.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Braga and AVS.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Braga x AVS

Should you bet on Braga?

🔵 Braga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $283.80
  • And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$143.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.

Should you bet on AVS?

🔴 AVS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $156.40;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$823.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x AVS

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x AVS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Braga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Braga.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Braga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x AVS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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