Braga x Casa Pia Betting tips for December 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x Casa Pia, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 18:00

Braga 1.40

X 4.55

Casa Pia 7.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Braga x Casa Pia:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for Braga x Casa Pia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Braga matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Braga conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Casa Pia.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Braga x Casa Pia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Braga x Casa Pia:

Analysis from Braga x Casa Pia for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Braga and Casa Pia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240320 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Braga x Casa Pia

Is it worth betting on Braga?

🔵 Braga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 830 times – profiting $332.00;
• And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $390.50;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$499.50.

Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?

🔴 Casa Pia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $360.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Casa Pia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Casa Pia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Braga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Braga.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Casa Pia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.