Braga x Famalicao Betting tips for December 16 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x Famalicao, Monday, 16/12/2024

📅 16/12/2024 18:45

Braga 1.50

X 4.18

Famalicao 6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga x Famalicao:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Braga x Famalicao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $28.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-151.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Famalicao, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Braga matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Braga x Famalicao, with Braga as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Braga conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Famalicao.

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Analysis from Braga x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 16 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Braga and Famalicao.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1237111 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga x Famalicao

Is betting on Braga worth it?

🔵 Braga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $410.00;
• And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$230.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $381.60;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$498.40.

Is betting on Famalicao worth it?

🔴 Famalicao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Famalicao

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Famalicao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Braga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Braga.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Braga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Famalicao

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.