Casa Pia x AVS Betting tips for December 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 8/12/2024 18:00 |
 Casa Pia2.00 |
X 3.25 |
AVS  3.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Casa Pia x AVS:
🔮 Casa Pia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casa Pia, you can win up to $1000.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Casa Pia x AVS: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $181.0. |
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Analysis from Casa Pia x AVS for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 8 of December
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🏟️ Casa Pia X AVS – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Casa Pia and AVS.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Casa Pia x AVS
Should you bet on Casa Pia?
🔵 Casa Pia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $630.00;
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Is betting on AVS worth it?
🔴 AVS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $406.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$454.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Casa Pia x AVS
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casa Pia x AVS
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Casa Pia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Casa Pia.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 AVS.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casa Pia x AVS
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
