Casa Pia x Famalicao Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 5/1/2025 18:00 |
 Casa Pia2.40 |
X 3.10 |
Famalicao  3.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Casa Pia x Famalicao:
🔮 Casa Pia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casa Pia, you can win up to $1200.00!
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The main points for the tip for Casa Pia x Famalicao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0. |
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Analysis from Casa Pia x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of January
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🏟️ Casa Pia X Famalicao – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Casa Pia and Famalicao.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242039 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Casa Pia x Famalicao
Should you bet on Casa Pia?
🔵 Casa Pia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – profiting $658.00;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$128.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.
Is it worth betting on Famalicao?
🔴 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Casa Pia x Famalicao
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casa Pia x Famalicao
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Casa Pia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Casa Pia.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Famalicao.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casa Pia x Famalicao
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
