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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Casa Pia x FC Porto Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 19h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
PREDICTION FC Porto Wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
FC Porto FC Porto
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Casa Pia x FC Porto Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Casa Pia x FC Porto, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
19:30
Casa Pia Casa Pia
5.52
X
3.75
FC Porto FC Porto
1.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Casa Pia x FC Porto:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Casa Pia x FC Porto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $910.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Casa Pia scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Casa Pia x FC Porto?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Casa Pia x FC Porto, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Casa Pia x FC Porto for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 12 of April

🏟️ Casa Pia X FC Porto – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Casa Pia – Winning probability: 6.90% | Fair line: 14.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.66% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 FC Porto – Winning probability: 71.44% | Fair line: 1.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Casa Pia and FC Porto.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Casa Pia x FC Porto

Should you bet on Casa Pia?

🔵 Casa Pia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $316.40;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$613.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $605.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on FC Porto worth it?

🔴 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $426.00;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$136.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Casa Pia x FC Porto

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casa Pia x FC Porto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Casa Pia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Casa Pia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Casa Pia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casa Pia x FC Porto

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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