Casa Pia x Moreirense Betting tips for March 1 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Casa Pia x Moreirense, Sunday, 1/3/2026

📅 1/3/2026 18:00

Casa Pia 2.65

X 2.98

Moreirense 2.76

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Casa Pia x Moreirense:

🔮 Moreirense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moreirense, you can win up to $1380.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Casa Pia x Moreirense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1080.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Casa Pia scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Casa Pia matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Casa Pia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Casa Pia x Moreirense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Casa Pia x Moreirense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Casa Pia x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 1 of March

Latest news on the match between Casa Pia and Moreirense

Casa Pia: Casa Pia, a Portuguese club competing in Liga Portugal Betclic, is currently 13th in the league table and will face FC Famalicão on February 23, 2026 at 20:15 UTC in Vila Nova de Famalicão; the main team aims to improve its position while the U-19 team prepares for a match against Juventude Atlântico U-19 on March 1, 2026. The club is known for launching Ruben Amorims coaching career in 2018.

Moreirense: The main team of Moreirense is currently eighth in Liga Portugal Betclic 2025-26, with 33 points from 23 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 10 losses) and a goal difference of -4; the most recent first division match was a 3-0 defeat to Sporting CP on February 21, 2026 at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, where Francisco Trincão (52), Geny Catamo (56), and Luis Suárez (75) scored for Sporting. Moreirense received a yellow card and had more shots on target (2 vs 8). The U-19 team will face Chaves U-19 on February 28, 2026, after a 1-0 victory over Paços de Ferreira U-19. The womens team suffered a 5-0 defeat to Real SC in the III Womens Division on February 21, 2026.

Table analysis for the match between Casa Pia and Moreirense

Casa Pia: Casa Pia is in 13th place with 22 points and a negative goal difference of -18. It is very close to the relegation zone, just one point ahead of Nacional in 14th and other teams further down. As the final stretch of the league approaches, this match is crucial for Casa Pia, which needs to earn points to move away from danger and secure its stay in the Primeira Liga. Every point counts to avoid direct relegation or playoff contention.

Moreirense: Moreirense is in 8th place with 33 points, in an intermediate position on the table, somewhat distant from both European competition qualification zones and relegation zone. The team has a comfortable margin to avoid relegation but is still far from fighting for international spots. Therefore, the game has moderate importance for Moreirense, possibly an opportunity to solidify its position and aim for a better classification, but not of decisive weight.

Summary: The match is very important for Casa Pia, fighting to escape relegation, while for Moreirense it has a lesser impact, mainly to consolidate its mid-table position. Thus, the game is fundamental for one team and of medium relevance for the other. ⚽🔥

How the handicap and odds moved for Casa Pia x Moreirense

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Casa Pia x Moreirense.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Casa Pia x Moreirense

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Casa Pia x Moreirense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1488452 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Casa Pia?

🔵 Casa Pia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $445.50;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$284.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $633.60;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$46.40.

Is it worth betting on Moreirense?

🔴 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $721.60;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Casa Pia x Moreirense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casa Pia x Moreirense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Casa Pia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Casa Pia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casa Pia x Moreirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Casa Pia x Moreirense