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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Casa Pia x SC Farense Betting tips for November 9 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
PREDICTION Casa Pia wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
SC Farense SC Farense
ODD: @2.02 Don't miss this prediction!

Casa Pia x SC Farense Betting tips for November 9 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Casa Pia x SC Farense, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
15:30
Casa Pia Casa Pia
2.02
X
3.25
SC Farense SC Farense
3.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Casa Pia x SC Farense:

🔮 Casa Pia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casa Pia, you can win up to $1010.00!

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Important information for your tip for Casa Pia x SC Farense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-358.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Casa Pia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SC Farense, Casa Pia scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Casa Pia x SC Farense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 9 of November

🏟️ Casa Pia X SC Farense – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Casa Pia – Winning probability: 58.53% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.66% | Fair line: 3.49
🔴 SC Farense – Winning probability: 12.81% | Fair line: 7.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Casa Pia x SC Farense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218440 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Casa Pia x SC Farense

Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?

🔵 Casa Pia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $601.80;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$191.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $652.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$57.50.

Is it worth betting on SC Farense?

🔴 SC Farense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $357.50;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$512.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Casa Pia x SC Farense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casa Pia x SC Farense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Casa Pia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Casa Pia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casa Pia x SC Farense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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