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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Estoril x Alverca Betting tips for December 27 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 27 December 2025, 20h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
PREDICTION No tip
Alverca Alverca
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Estoril x Alverca Betting tips for December 27 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estoril x Alverca, Saturday, 27/12/2025
📅 27/12/2025
20:30
Estoril Estoril
2.20
X
3.30
Alverca Alverca
3.19

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estoril x Alverca:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Estoril x Alverca

Important information for your tip for Estoril x Alverca:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alverca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Estoril scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Alverca matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Estoril x Alverca?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estoril x Alverca, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Estoril x Alverca for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 27 of December

🏟️ Estoril X Alverca – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 27 of December, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Estoril – Winning probability: 43.24% | Fair line: 2.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.87% | Fair line: 3.86
🔴 Alverca – Winning probability: 30.89% | Fair line: 3.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estoril x Alverca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455955 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estoril x Alverca

Is it worth betting on Estoril?

🔵 Estoril: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $516.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it worth betting on Alverca?

🔴 Alverca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $678.90
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$11.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x Alverca

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x Alverca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Estoril, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Estoril.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Alverca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x Alverca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves