Estoril x Moreirense Betting tips for December 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 28/12/2024 18:00 |
 Estoril3.25 |
X 3.00 |
Moreirense  2.32 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Estoril x Moreirense:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
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Important information for your tip for Estoril x Moreirense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. |
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Analysis from Estoril x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 28 of December
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🏟️ Estoril X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga |
When the best bet on Estoril x Moreirense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240180 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Estoril x Moreirense
Is it a good idea to bet on Estoril?
🔵 Estoril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Should you bet on Moreirense?
🔴 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $541.20
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x Moreirense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x Moreirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Estoril and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Estoril.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Moreirense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x Moreirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
