Estrela x Arouca Betting tips for December 9 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 9/12/2024 20:15 |
 Estrela2.50 |
X 3.19 |
Arouca  2.79 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estrela x Arouca:
🔮 Arouca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arouca, you can win up to $1395.00!
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The main points for the tip for Estrela x Arouca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Estrela x Arouca?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estrela x Arouca, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Estrela x Arouca for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 9 of December
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🏟️ Estrela X Arouca – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estrela and Arouca.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1234813 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Estrela x Arouca
Is betting on Estrela worth it?
🔵 Estrela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $350.40
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$489.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Arouca?
🔴 Arouca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $1020.30;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$590.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela x Arouca
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Estrela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela x Arouca
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Estrela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Estrela.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Estrela.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela x Arouca
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
