Estrela x Estoril Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estrela x Estoril, Sunday, 5/1/2025

📅 5/1/2025 20:30

Estrela 2.30

X 3.00

Estoril 3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Estrela x Estoril:

🔮 Estrela wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estrela, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Estrela x Estoril: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $500.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Estrela scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Estoril matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Estoril conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Estrela is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estrela x Estoril?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Estrela x Estoril:

Analysis from Estrela x Estoril for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of January

When the best bet on Estrela x Estoril is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242335 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estrela x Estoril

Should you bet on Estrela?

🔵 Estrela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $741.00;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$311.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $520.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is betting on Estoril worth it?

🔴 Estoril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela x Estoril

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Estrela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela x Estoril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Estrela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Estrela. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela x Estoril

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.