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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Estrela x Rio Ave Betting tips for December 23 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Monday, 23 December 2024, 20h45 Portugal Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
PREDICTION Rio Ave Wins Probability 36% 1 X 2
Rio Ave Rio Ave
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Estrela x Rio Ave Betting tips for December 23 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estrela x Rio Ave, Monday, 23/12/2024
📅 23/12/2024
20:45
Estrela Estrela
2.45
X
3.20
Rio Ave Rio Ave
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estrela x Rio Ave:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

🔮 Rio Ave wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rio Ave, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Estrela x Rio Ave:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Estrela scored at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Estrela x Rio Ave for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 23 of December

🏟️ Estrela X Rio Ave – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 23 of December, 2024 – 20:45
🔵 Estrela – Winning probability: 31.60% | Fair line: 3.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.95% | Fair line: 3.13
🔴 Rio Ave – Winning probability: 36.44% | Fair line: 2.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estrela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estrela and Rio Ave.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estrela x Rio Ave

Is betting on Estrela worth it?

🔵 Estrela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $464.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$216.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$24.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rio Ave?

🔴 Rio Ave: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $684.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$44.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela x Rio Ave

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estrela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela x Rio Ave

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Estrela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Estrela.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela x Rio Ave

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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