Estrela x Sporting Betting tips for March 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 29/3/2025 18:00 |
 Estrela8.17 |
X 5.00 |
Sporting  1.33 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estrela x Sporting:
🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $665.00!
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Important information for your tip for Estrela x Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Estrela x Sporting?
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Analysis from Estrela x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of March
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🏟️ Estrela X Sporting – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estrela and Sporting.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Estrela x Sporting
Is it a good idea to bet on Estrela?
🔵 Estrela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $143.40;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$836.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $160.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$800.00.
Is betting on Sporting worth it?
🔴 Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $310.20
- And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela x Sporting
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Estrela
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela x Sporting
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Estrela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Estrela.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela x Sporting
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
