Famalicao x Estoril Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Famalicao x Estoril, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 14:30

Famalicao 2.05

X 3.30

Estoril 3.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Famalicao x Estoril:

🔮 Estoril wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estoril, you can win up to $1825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Famalicao x Estoril: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $82.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Estoril scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Estoril, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Famalicao is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Famalicao has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Estoril playing at home.

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Analysis from Famalicao x Estoril for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Famalicao and Estoril.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Famalicao x Estoril

Should you bet on Famalicao?

🔵 Famalicao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $514.50;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$4.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Estoril?

🔴 Estoril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $768.50;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$58.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao x Estoril

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao x Estoril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Famalicao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Famalicao.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Estoril.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao x Estoril

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.