FC Porto x Benfica Betting tips for April 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Benfica, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 19:30

FC Porto 2.60

X 3.22

Benfica 2.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Porto x Benfica:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $1300.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for FC Porto x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-375.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $220.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 FC Porto matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Benfica matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Looking for another bookie to bet on FC Porto x Benfica?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Porto x Benfica:

Analysis from FC Porto x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 6 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Porto and Benfica.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1297032 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto x Benfica

Should you bet on FC Porto?

🔵 FC Porto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $608.00
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$12.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $577.20
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $577.50;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$72.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Benfica

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Porto.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.