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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » FC Porto x Casa Pia Betting tips for December 2 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Monday, 02 December 2024, 20h45 Portugal Primeira Liga
FC Porto FC Porto
PREDICTION FC Porto wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Casa Pia Casa Pia
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Porto x Casa Pia Betting tips for December 2 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Casa Pia, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
20:45
FC Porto FC Porto
1.20
X
6.50
Casa Pia Casa Pia
12.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Porto x Casa Pia:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $600.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Porto x Casa Pia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 FC Porto did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 FC Porto is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Porto x Casa Pia for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 2 of December

🏟️ FC Porto X Casa Pia – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 20:45
🔵 FC Porto – Winning probability: 93.83% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.61% | Fair line: 21.71
🔴 Casa Pia – Winning probability: 1.56% | Fair line: 64.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Porto and Casa Pia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1231409 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto x Casa Pia

Is betting on FC Porto worth it?

🔵 FC Porto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $188.00;
  • And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $275.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$675.00.

Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?

🔴 Casa Pia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $235.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$745.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Casa Pia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Casa Pia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 FC Porto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 FC Porto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 FC Porto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Casa Pia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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