Gil Vicente x Benfica Betting tips for March 2 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 2/3/2026 20:15 |
Gil Vicente5.50 |
X 3.76 |
Benfica ![]() 1.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gil Vicente x Benfica:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Gil Vicente x Benfica
The main points for the tip for Gil Vicente x Benfica:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $308.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-219.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Gil Vicente matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Gil Vicente conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Benfica.
👉 Gil Vicente is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Even as a visitor, Benfica won the last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente´s territory
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Analysis from Gil Vicente x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 2 of March
🏟️ Gil Vicente X Benfica – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 2 of March, 2026 – 20:15
🔵 Gil Vicente – Winning probability: 16.74% | Fair line: 5.97
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.73% | Fair line: 3.74
🔴 Benfica – Winning probability: 56.52% | Fair line: 1.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Gil Vicente x Benfica
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Gil Vicente x Benfica.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 4.35%, the odds for Gil Vicente are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @5.75 for Gil Vicente and now the odds are @6.0.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Draw and now the odds are @3.6.
📊 With a variation of -0.93%, the odds for Benfica are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.615 for Benfica and now the odds are @1.6.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.75 for Benfica is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Gil Vicente x Benfica
When the best bet on Gil Vicente x Benfica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1488452 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Should you bet on Gil Vicente?
🔵 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$65.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $745.20
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$15.20.
Is betting on Benfica worth it?
🔴 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $342.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Benfica
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Benfica
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Gil Vicente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Gil Vicente.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Gil Vicente.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Benfica
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Gil Vicente x Benfica
Who is the favourite: Gil Vicente or Benfica?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Benfica, with a win probability of 56.52%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Gil Vicente x Benfica?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Benfica has the better chance to win, with a probability of 56.52%. If you choose to back Benfica, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Gil Vicente beating Benfica today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Gil Vicente would win about 17 of those against Benfica.
What are the chances of Benfica beating Gil Vicente today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Benfica would take victory in roughly 57 of them against Gil Vicente.
Which team should I bet on: Gil Vicente or Benfica?
Our analysis did not find a clear positive expected value bet for this match. Remember to always manage your bankroll and bet responsibly: avoid staking more than 2% of your balance!
How much is Gil Vicente paying today? See what you can win by betting on Gil Vicente x Benfica:
The average odds for Gil Vicente to beat Benfica today are 5.50. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh5500.00 if Gil Vicente wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Benfica paying today? See what you can win by betting on Gil Vicente x Benfica:
The odds for Benfica to beat Gil Vicente today are around 1.60. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1600.00 if Benfica wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Gil Vicente