Gil Vicente x Benfica Betting tips for March 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente x Benfica, Friday, 28/3/2025

📅 28/3/2025 20:15

Gil Vicente 7.50

X 4.60

Benfica 1.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gil Vicente x Benfica:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $690.00!

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Important information for your tip for Gil Vicente x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $210.0. 👉 Gil Vicente did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Gil Vicente matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Gil Vicente conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Benfica. 👉 It is not a good time for Gil Vicente as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Benfica won the last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente´s territory

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Analysis from Gil Vicente x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 28 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gil Vicente and Benfica.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290405 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gil Vicente x Benfica

Is betting on Gil Vicente worth it?

🔵 Gil Vicente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $130.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$850.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$632.00.

Is betting on Benfica worth it?

🔴 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 900 times – profiting $342.00;
• And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$242.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Benfica

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Gil Vicente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Gil Vicente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.