Gil Vicente x Guimaraes Betting tips for April 11 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente x Guimaraes, Friday, 11/4/2025

📅 11/4/2025 19:15

Gil Vicente 3.71

X 3.10

Guimaraes 2.08

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gil Vicente x Guimaraes:

🔮 Guimaraes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guimaraes, you can win up to $1040.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gil Vicente x Guimaraes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. 👉 Gil Vicente did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Guimaraes, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Guimaraes matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Guimaraes has not lost any of them. 👉 Gil Vicente has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Guimaraes. 👉 It is not a good time for Gil Vicente as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Gil Vicente x Guimaraes for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 11 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gil Vicente and Guimaraes.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1300704 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Guimaraes

Is betting on Gil Vicente worth it?

🔵 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $433.60;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$406.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?

🔴 Guimaraes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $615.60
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Guimaraes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Guimaraes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Gil Vicente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Gil Vicente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Guimaraes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Guimaraes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.