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Home Β» Predictions Β» Portugal Primeira Liga Β» Gil Vicente x Moreirense Betting tips for April 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 06 April 2025, 14h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
PREDICTION No tip
Moreirense Moreirense
Don't miss this prediction!

Gil Vicente x Moreirense Betting tips for April 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente x Moreirense, Sunday, 6/4/2025
πŸ“… 6/4/2025
14:30
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
2.50
X
3.10
Moreirense Moreirense
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gil Vicente x Moreirense:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Gil Vicente x Moreirense

Important information for your tip for Gil Vicente x Moreirense:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ Gil Vicente did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Moreirense, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Gil Vicente as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Gil Vicente x Moreirense?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Gil Vicente x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 6 of April

🏟️ Gil Vicente X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga
πŸ“… 6 of April, 2025 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Gil Vicente – Winning probability: 39.00% | Fair line: 2.56
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.48% | Fair line: 3.39
πŸ”΄ Moreirense – Winning probability: 31.52% | Fair line: 3.17
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.5 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gil Vicente x Moreirense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296560 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gil Vicente x Moreirense

Is betting on Gil Vicente worth it?

πŸ”΅ Gil Vicente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?

πŸ”΄ Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Moreirense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.5 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Gil Vicente x Moreirense

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Gil Vicente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Gil Vicente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: -0.0 Moreirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Moreirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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