Gil Vicente x Nacional Betting tips for December 7 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente x Nacional, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 15:30

Gil Vicente 2.05

X 3.30

Nacional 3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gil Vicente x Nacional:

🔮 Gil Vicente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gil Vicente, you can win up to $1025.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Gil Vicente x Nacional: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente x Nacional, with Gil Vicente as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Gil Vicente has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Nacional playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Nacional as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Gil Vicente x Nacional?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gil Vicente x Nacional, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Gil Vicente x Nacional for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gil Vicente x Nacional right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233239 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gil Vicente x Nacional

Is it a good idea to bet on Gil Vicente?

🔵 Gil Vicente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $661.50;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$291.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional?

🔴 Nacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $364.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$496.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Nacional

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Nacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Gil Vicente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gil Vicente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Gil Vicente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Nacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.