Guimaraes x Boavista Betting tips for October 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Guimaraes x Boavista, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 11:30

Guimaraes 1.47

X 4.20

Boavista 6.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Guimaraes x Boavista:

🔮 Guimaraes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guimaraes, you can win up to $735.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Guimaraes x Boavista: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boavista, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Guimaraes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Boavista conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Guimaraes has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Boavista playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Guimaraes x Boavista?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Guimaraes x Boavista:

Analysis from Guimaraes x Boavista for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 6 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guimaraes x Boavista right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Boavista

Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?

🔵 Guimaraes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $399.50
• And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$249.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $288.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

Is betting on Boavista worth it?

🔴 Boavista: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $255.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$695.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes x Boavista

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Boavista

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Guimaraes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Guimaraes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Guimaraes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes x Boavista

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.