Guimaraes x Gil Vicente Betting tips for December 8 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 8/12/2025 20:30 |
 Guimaraes2.56 |
X 3.00 |
Gil Vicente  2.88 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
Some important points for the tip for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $87.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Gil Vicente, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Guimaraes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Guimaraes x Gil Vicente, with Guimaraes as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Guimaraes has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Gil Vicente.
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Analysis from Guimaraes x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 8 of December
🏟️ Guimaraes X Gil Vicente – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 8 of December, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Guimaraes – Winning probability: 25.95% | Fair line: 3.85
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.43% | Fair line: 2.75
🔴 Gil Vicente – Winning probability: 37.62% | Fair line: 2.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449456 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news on Guimaraes x Gil Vicente
Vitória de Guimarães: Vitória de Guimarães is ready to host FC Porto in the next round of Liga Portugal, with Portos medical team confirming the return of Turkish forward Deniz Gül, who joins attacking teammates Angel Alarcon and Yann Karamoh for the match, while goalkeeper Diogo Costa and defender Victor Froholdt are being rested; the Guimarães team, currently mid-table under coach Rui Pataca, is seeking to gain momentum after a series of mixed results and will rely on key players like forward André Silva and midfielder Rúben Faria to challenge Portos attack.
Gil Vicente: Gil Vicente is currently in fourth place in the Primeira Liga, accumulating ten points in five matches, with a record of three wins, one draw, and one loss, and a positive goal difference of +3 (five goals scored and two conceded). The teams recent form has been win, win, draw, loss, win, and they are scheduled to host Tondela at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos on October 29, 2025, at 20:30 UTC, a match between the fourth-placed team and the visitor in 16th position. In the clubs U-19 team, Gil Vicente suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat to SC Braga U-19 on December 1, 2025, with Guilherme Moraes of Braga scoring the opening goal at 69 minutes, ending the match with a 5-1 score.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente
Is it worth betting on Guimaraes?
🔵 Guimaraes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $405.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$334.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $720.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Should you bet on Gil Vicente?
🔴 Gil Vicente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $714.40;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$94.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes x Gil Vicente
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Guimaraes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Guimaraes.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Gil Vicente.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes x Gil Vicente
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
