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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Guimaraes x Sporting Betting tips for January 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Friday, 03 January 2025, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
Guimaraes Guimaraes
PREDICTION Sporting Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Sporting Sporting
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

Guimaraes x Sporting Betting tips for January 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Guimaraes x Sporting, Friday, 3/1/2025
📅 3/1/2025
20:15
Guimaraes Guimaraes
4.50
X
3.80
Sporting Sporting
1.69

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Guimaraes x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $845.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Guimaraes x Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-215.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Guimaraes conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sporting.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Guimaraes x Sporting?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Guimaraes x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 3 of January

🏟️ Guimaraes X Sporting – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 3 of January, 2025 – 20:15
🔵 Guimaraes – Winning probability: 14.55% | Fair line: 6.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.36% | Fair line: 4.47
🔴 Sporting – Winning probability: 63.09% | Fair line: 1.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guimaraes x Sporting right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241790 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guimaraes x Sporting

Is it a good idea to bet on Guimaraes?

🔵 Guimaraes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$164.00.

Is betting on Sporting worth it?

🔴 Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $434.70
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes x Sporting

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Guimaraes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Guimaraes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Guimaraes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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