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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Moreirense x AVS Betting tips for January 4 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
PREDICTION AVS Wins Probability 24% 1 X 2
AVS AVS
ODD: @4.51 Don't miss this prediction!

Moreirense x AVS Betting tips for January 4 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Moreirense x AVS, Saturday, 4/1/2025
📅 4/1/2025
15:30
Moreirense Moreirense
1.80
X
3.41
AVS AVS
4.51

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Moreirense x AVS:

🔮 AVS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AVS, you can win up to $2255.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Moreirense x AVS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1630.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 Moreirense matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Moreirense x AVS for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 4 of January

🏟️ Moreirense X AVS – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 4 of January, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Moreirense – Winning probability: 50.82% | Fair line: 1.97
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.39% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 AVS – Winning probability: 24.79% | Fair line: 4.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Moreirense x AVS is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1241796 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x AVS

Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?

🔵 Moreirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $578.40
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$181.60.

Is it worth betting on AVS?

🔴 AVS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $877.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x AVS

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x AVS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Moreirense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 AVS.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x AVS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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