Moreirense x Famalicao Betting tips for September 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Moreirense x Famalicao, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 16:30

Moreirense 2.55

X 3.05

Famalicao 2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Moreirense x Famalicao:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Moreirense x Famalicao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $155.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Famalicao, Moreirense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Moreirense has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Famalicao playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Moreirense x Famalicao?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Moreirense x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of September

When the best bet on Moreirense x Famalicao is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184924 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x Famalicao

Should you bet on Moreirense?

🔵 Moreirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $434.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $820.00;
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$220.00.

Is betting on Famalicao worth it?

🔴 Famalicao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Famalicao

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Famalicao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Moreirense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Moreirense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Famalicao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Famalicao

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.