Moreirense x FC Porto Betting tips for December 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 21/12/2024 20:30 |
 Moreirense6.35 |
X 4.20 |
FC Porto  1.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Moreirense x FC Porto:
🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $750.00!
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The main points for the tip for Moreirense x FC Porto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1630.0. |
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Analysis from Moreirense x FC Porto for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of December
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🏟️ Moreirense X FC Porto – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moreirense x FC Porto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238850 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Moreirense x FC Porto
Is betting on Moreirense worth it?
🔵 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $267.50;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$682.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$412.00.
Is betting on FC Porto worth it?
🔴 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $405.00;
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x FC Porto
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x FC Porto
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Moreirense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x FC Porto
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
