Moreirense x Guimaraes Betting tips for March 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 30/3/2025 19:30 |
 Moreirense3.55 |
X 3.10 |
Guimaraes  2.15 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Moreirense x Guimaraes:
🔮 Moreirense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moreirense, you can win up to $1775.00!
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The main points for the tip for Moreirense x Guimaraes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. |
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Analysis from Moreirense x Guimaraes for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 30 of March
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🏟️ Moreirense X Guimaraes – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moreirense x Guimaraes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291320 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x Guimaraes
Is it worth betting on Moreirense?
🔵 Moreirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $918.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.
Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?
🔴 Guimaraes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Guimaraes
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Guimaraes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Moreirense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Moreirense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Guimaraes
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
