Moreirense x Rio Ave Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 13/4/2025 19:30 |
 Moreirense2.05 |
X 3.20 |
Rio Ave  3.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Moreirense x Rio Ave:
🔮 Moreirense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moreirense, you can win up to $1025.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Moreirense x Rio Ave: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. |
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Analysis from Moreirense x Rio Ave for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 13 of April
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🏟️ Moreirense X Rio Ave – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moreirense x Rio Ave right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x Rio Ave
Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?
🔵 Moreirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $577.50;
- And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$127.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$72.00.
Should you bet on Rio Ave?
🔴 Rio Ave: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $416.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Rio Ave
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Rio Ave
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Moreirense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Rio Ave
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
