Moreirense x Santa Clara Betting tips for October 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 5/10/2024 11:30 |
 Moreirense2.20 |
X 3.40 |
Santa Clara  3.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Moreirense x Santa Clara:
🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $1550.00!
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The main points for the tip for Moreirense x Santa Clara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0. |
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Analysis from Moreirense x Santa Clara for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of October
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🏟️ Moreirense X Santa Clara – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moreirense x Santa Clara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x Santa Clara
Is betting on Moreirense worth it?
🔵 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $312.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?
🔴 Santa Clara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $1029.00
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$519.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Santa Clara
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Santa Clara
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Moreirense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Santa Clara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Santa Clara
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
