Moreirense x Sporting Betting tips for December 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Moreirense x Sporting, Thursday, 5/12/2024

📅 5/12/2024 20:15

Moreirense 8.50

X 4.95

Sporting 1.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Moreirense x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $665.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Moreirense x Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $730.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Moreirense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Moreirense x Sporting, with Moreirense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sporting. 👉 Sporting is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 Moreirense is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Sporting has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Moreirense x Sporting?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Moreirense x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of December

When the best bet on Moreirense x Sporting is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232622 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Moreirense x Sporting

Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?

🔵 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $225.00;
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$745.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $316.00;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$604.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting?

🔴 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 88.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $293.70
• And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$183.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Sporting

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Moreirense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Moreirense.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.