Nacional x Boavista Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 30/11/2024 18:00 |
 Nacional1.91 |
X 3.35 |
Boavista  4.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nacional x Boavista:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Nacional x Boavista
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Important information for your tip for Nacional x Boavista: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nacional x Boavista?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nacional x Boavista:
Analysis from Nacional x Boavista for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 30 of November
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🏟️ Nacional X Boavista – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nacional x Boavista right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional x Boavista
Should you bet on Nacional?
🔵 Nacional: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $500.50;
- And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $705.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$5.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on Boavista?
🔴 Boavista: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x Boavista
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x Boavista
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nacional, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Nacional.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Boavista.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x Boavista
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
