Nacional x Braga Betting tips for September 20 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Nacional x Braga, Friday, 20/9/2024

📅 20/9/2024 16:15

Nacional 5.00

X 3.35

Braga 1.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nacional x Braga:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $875.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Nacional x Braga: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $148.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $2.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nacional scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Nacional x Braga, with Nacional as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Nacional conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Braga. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Braga has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Braga won the last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nacional x Braga?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Nacional x Braga for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 20 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional and Braga.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional x Braga

Should you bet on Nacional?

🔵 Nacional: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $470.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Braga?

🔴 Braga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – profiting $540.00;
• And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x Braga

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Nacional, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Nacional.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Braga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.