Nacional x FC Porto Betting tips for January 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 3/1/2025 18:00 |
 Nacional9.10 |
X 5.50 |
FC Porto  1.29 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nacional x FC Porto:
🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $645.00!
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The main points for the tip for Nacional x FC Porto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nacional x FC Porto?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nacional x FC Porto:
Analysis from Nacional x FC Porto for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 3 of January
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🏟️ Nacional X FC Porto – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional and FC Porto.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1241696 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional x FC Porto
Is it worth betting on Nacional?
🔵 Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $81.00;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$909.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $315.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.00.
Is betting on FC Porto worth it?
🔴 FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 920 times – profiting $266.80;
- And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$186.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x FC Porto
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x FC Porto
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Nacional, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Nacional.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x FC Porto
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
