Rio Ave x Famalicao Betting tips for October 4 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 4/10/2024 16:15 |
 Rio Ave2.25 |
X 3.40 |
Famalicao  2.88 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rio Ave x Famalicao:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!
🔮 Famalicao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Famalicao, you can win up to $1440.00!
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Important information for your tip for Rio Ave x Famalicao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. |
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Analysis from Rio Ave x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 4 of October
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🏟️ Rio Ave X Famalicao – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rio Ave and Famalicao.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Rio Ave x Famalicao
Is betting on Rio Ave worth it?
🔵 Rio Ave: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $262.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$527.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $816.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$156.00.
Should you bet on Famalicao?
🔴 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $846.00
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$296.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rio Ave x Famalicao
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Famalicao
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Rio Ave and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Rio Ave.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Famalicao.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rio Ave x Famalicao
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
