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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Rio Ave x Guimaraes Betting tips for December 16 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Monday, 16 December 2024, 20h45 Portugal Primeira Liga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Guimaraes Guimaraes
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Rio Ave x Guimaraes Betting tips for December 16 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Rio Ave x Guimaraes, Monday, 16/12/2024
📅 16/12/2024
20:45
Rio Ave Rio Ave
3.62
X
3.30
Guimaraes Guimaraes
2.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rio Ave x Guimaraes:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

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Important information for your tip for Rio Ave x Guimaraes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Rio Ave scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Guimaraes.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rio Ave x Guimaraes?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Rio Ave x Guimaraes for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 16 of December

🏟️ Rio Ave X Guimaraes – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 16 of December, 2024 – 20:45
🔵 Rio Ave – Winning probability: 15.08% | Fair line: 6.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.99% | Fair line: 2.44
🔴 Guimaraes – Winning probability: 43.93% | Fair line: 2.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rio Ave x Guimaraes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237660 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rio Ave x Guimaraes

Is betting on Rio Ave worth it?

🔵 Rio Ave: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $393.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$457.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $943.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$353.00.

Should you bet on Guimaraes?

🔴 Guimaraes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rio Ave x Guimaraes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Guimaraes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Rio Ave and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Rio Ave.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Rio Ave.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rio Ave x Guimaraes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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