Rio Ave x Moreirense Betting tips for February 16 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 16/2/2026 20:15 |
 Rio Ave2.80 |
X 3.15 |
Moreirense  2.48 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rio Ave x Moreirense:
🔮 Moreirense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moreirense, you can win up to $1240.00!
Some important points for the tip for Rio Ave x Moreirense:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Rio Ave x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 16 of February
🏟️ Rio Ave X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 16 of February, 2026 – 20:15
🔵 Rio Ave – Winning probability: 23.47% | Fair line: 4.26
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.10% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 Moreirense – Winning probability: 43.43% | Fair line: 2.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Rio Ave x Moreirense
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Rio Ave x Moreirense.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Rio Ave had a slight Raised of 7.83%: the market opened with odds of @2.81 for Rio Ave and now the odds are @3.03.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Decreased of -6.17%: the market opened with odds of @3.32 for Draw and now the odds are @3.115.
📊 With a variation of -1.47%, the odds for Moreirense are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.525 for Moreirense and now the odds are @2.488.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for Rio Ave is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.5 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Rio Ave x Moreirense
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rio Ave and Moreirense.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1479336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Should you bet on Rio Ave?
🔵 Rio Ave: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $709.50;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$39.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on Moreirense?
🔴 Moreirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $636.40;
- And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$66.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rio Ave x Moreirense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Moreirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Rio Ave and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Rio Ave.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Moreirense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rio Ave x Moreirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Rio Ave x Moreirense
Which team is the favourite in Rio Ave x Moreirense?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Moreirense, with an estimated chance of 43.43%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Rio Ave or Moreirense?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Moreirense is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 43.43%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Rio Ave beating Moreirense today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Rio Ave would take victory in roughly 23 of them versus Moreirense.
What are the chances of Moreirense beating Rio Ave today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Moreirense would take victory in roughly 43 of them against Rio Ave.
Which team should I bet on: Rio Ave or Moreirense?
A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: Moreirense Wins, with a positive expected value of 8.17%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Rio Ave paying today? See what you can win by betting on Rio Ave x Moreirense:
The odds for Rio Ave to beat Moreirense today are around 2.80. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2800.00 if Rio Ave wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Moreirense paying today? See what you can win by betting on Rio Ave x Moreirense:
The average odds for Moreirense to beat Rio Ave today are 2.48. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2480.00 if Moreirense wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
