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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Rio Ave x Moreirense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Moreirense Moreirense
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Rio Ave x Moreirense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Rio Ave x Moreirense, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
2.85
X
3.20
Moreirense Moreirense
2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rio Ave x Moreirense:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Rio Ave x Moreirense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Rio Ave scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Moreirense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Rio Ave x Moreirense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Rio Ave x Moreirense:

Analysis from Rio Ave x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 30 of November

🏟️ Rio Ave X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Rio Ave – Winning probability: 22.47% | Fair line: 4.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.96% | Fair line: 2.5
🔴 Moreirense – Winning probability: 37.57% | Fair line: 2.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rio Ave and Moreirense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Moreirense

Is it a good idea to bet on Rio Ave?

🔵 Rio Ave: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $407.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $880.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Moreirense?

🔴 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$69.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rio Ave x Moreirense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Moreirense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Rio Ave, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Rio Ave.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Moreirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rio Ave x Moreirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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