Rio Ave x Nacional Betting tips for December 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Rio Ave x Nacional, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 15:30

Rio Ave 2.25

X 3.05

Nacional 3.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rio Ave x Nacional:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Rio Ave x Nacional: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Rio Ave scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Rio Ave matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Rio Ave has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Nacional playing at home.

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Analysis from Rio Ave x Nacional for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of December

When the best bet on Rio Ave x Nacional is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240337 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Nacional

Is it worth betting on Rio Ave?

🔵 Rio Ave: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$35.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $697.00
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$37.00.

Is it worth betting on Nacional?

🔴 Nacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $450.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Rio Ave x Nacional

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Nacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Rio Ave, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Rio Ave.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Rio Ave.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rio Ave x Nacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.