Santa Clara x Arouca Betting tips for December 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 21/12/2025 20:30 |
 Santa Clara1.70 |
X 3.50 |
Arouca  5.14 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Santa Clara x Arouca:
🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $850.00!
The main points for the tip for Santa Clara x Arouca:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-61.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arouca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Arouca, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Arouca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Arouca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Arouca as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Santa Clara x Arouca for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of December
🏟️ Santa Clara X Arouca – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 74.26% | Fair line: 1.35
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.57% | Fair line: 6.03
🔴 Arouca – Winning probability: 9.17% | Fair line: 10.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santa Clara and Arouca.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454884 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x Arouca
Should you bet on Santa Clara?
🔵 Santa Clara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $518.00;
- And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$258.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $425.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.
Should you bet on Arouca?
🔴 Arouca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $372.60;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$537.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Arouca
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Arouca
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Santa Clara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Santa Clara.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Santa Clara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Arouca
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
