Santa Clara x Braga Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Santa Clara x Braga, Sunday, 22/12/2024

📅 22/12/2024 17:00

Santa Clara 3.10

X 3.20

Braga 2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Santa Clara x Braga:

🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $1550.00!

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The main points for the tip for Santa Clara x Braga: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $497.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-42.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Santa Clara conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Braga. 👉 Santa Clara is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Santa Clara x Braga?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santa Clara x Braga, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santa Clara x Braga for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 22 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Clara x Braga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x Braga

Is it worth betting on Santa Clara?

🔵 Santa Clara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $1008.00
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$488.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is it worth betting on Braga?

🔴 Braga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $364.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$356.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Braga

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Santa Clara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Santa Clara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.