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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Santa Clara x Nacional Betting tips for March 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 30 March 2025, 14h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
PREDICTION Santa Clara wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Nacional Nacional
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Clara x Nacional Betting tips for March 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Santa Clara x Nacional, Sunday, 30/3/2025
📅 30/3/2025
14:30
Santa Clara Santa Clara
1.83
X
3.20
Nacional Nacional
4.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Santa Clara x Nacional:

🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Santa Clara x Nacional:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santa Clara conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Santa Clara conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nacional.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Santa Clara x Nacional?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santa Clara x Nacional, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santa Clara x Nacional for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 30 of March

🏟️ Santa Clara X Nacional – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 30 of March, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 65.05% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.35% | Fair line: 4.11
🔴 Nacional – Winning probability: 10.59% | Fair line: 9.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Clara x Nacional right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291320 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Nacional

Should you bet on Santa Clara?

🔵 Santa Clara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $539.50;
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is betting on Nacional worth it?

🔴 Nacional: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $407.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$483.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Nacional

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Nacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Santa Clara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Santa Clara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Nacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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