Santa Clara x SC Farense Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 5/1/2025 15:30 |
Santa Clara 1.65 |
X 3.66 |
SC Farense 5.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santa Clara x SC Farense:
🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $825.00!
Important information for your tip for Santa Clara x SC Farense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $322.0. |
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Analysis from Santa Clara x SC Farense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of January
🏟️ Santa Clara X SC Farense – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santa Clara and SC Farense.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242039 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x SC Farense
Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?
🔵 Santa Clara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $474.50
- And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $585.20;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on SC Farense?
🔴 SC Farense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $225.00;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$725.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x SC Farense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x SC Farense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Santa Clara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Santa Clara.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Santa Clara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x SC Farense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.