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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Santa Clara x SC Farense Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 05 January 2025, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
PREDICTION Santa Clara wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
SC Farense SC Farense
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Clara x SC Farense Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Santa Clara x SC Farense, Sunday, 5/1/2025
📅 5/1/2025
15:30
Santa Clara Santa Clara
1.65
X
3.66
SC Farense SC Farense
5.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santa Clara x SC Farense:

🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $825.00!

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Important information for your tip for Santa Clara x SC Farense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $322.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $330.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SC Farense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SC Farense, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Santa Clara matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, SC Farense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, SC Farense has not lost any of them.
👉 Santa Clara has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against SC Farense playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Santa Clara x SC Farense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Santa Clara x SC Farense:

Analysis from Santa Clara x SC Farense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of January

🏟️ Santa Clara X SC Farense – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 5 of January, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 72.95% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.16% | Fair line: 4.51
🔴 SC Farense – Winning probability: 4.89% | Fair line: 20.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santa Clara and SC Farense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242039 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x SC Farense

Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?

🔵 Santa Clara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $474.50
  • And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $585.20;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Farense?

🔴 SC Farense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $225.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$725.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x SC Farense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x SC Farense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Santa Clara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Santa Clara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x SC Farense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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