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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Santa Clara x Sporting Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 17h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
PREDICTION Sporting Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Sporting Sporting
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Clara x Sporting Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Santa Clara x Sporting, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
17:00
Santa Clara Santa Clara
5.50
X
3.82
Sporting Sporting
1.57

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santa Clara x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Santa Clara x Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-71.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Santa Clara matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Santa Clara x Sporting, with Santa Clara as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Santa Clara conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sporting.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Sporting has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Santa Clara x Sporting?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santa Clara x Sporting, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santa Clara x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 12 of April

🏟️ Santa Clara X Sporting – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 15.31% | Fair line: 6.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.72% | Fair line: 5.64
🔴 Sporting – Winning probability: 66.97% | Fair line: 1.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santa Clara and Sporting.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x Sporting

Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?

🔵 Santa Clara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $675.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $507.60;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.40.

Is betting on Sporting worth it?

🔴 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $381.90
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$51.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Sporting

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Santa Clara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Santa Clara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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